"Perhaps the most significant improvement in the field of corrections over the last several decades has been the advancement and routinization of risk and risk–need assessment instruments within justice agencies (Andrews, Bonta, and Wormith, 2006; Bonta, 2002). Actuarial risk-prediction instruments can tell us which offenders are most likely to reoffend as well as whom among the offender population we might want to target for more intensive rehabilitative programming.1 Adhering to the risk principle by targeting higher risk offenders and matching the intensity of controls and services to risk levels has been found to improve the effectiveness of correctional interventions (Andrews and Bonta, 2010; Dowden and Andrews, 1999a, 1999b; Landenberger and Lipsey, 2005; Lowenkamp and Latessa, 2005; Lowenkamp, Latessa, and Holsinger, 2006)."

From Vol. 14, Issue 1, Criminality & Public Policy, "Risk Tells Us Who, But Not What or How - Empirical Assessment of the Complexity of Criminogenic Needs to Inform Correctional Programming (Feb. 2015) by Faye S. Taxman & Michael S. Caudy. 

In other words, the bad boys need to be targeted for "intensive rehabilitative programming."  The "intensity of controls" needs to match the higher risks of high-risk offenders.  

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